US Election Analysis 2024 will be published on Friday 15th November*
Featuring more than 100 contributions from leading academics, this publication will capture the immediate thoughts, reflections and early research insights on the 2024 US Presidential Election from the cutting edge of media and politics research.
It will be *published just 10 days after the election result is confirmed, with short and accessible contributions. As with our previous reports, authors will provide authoritative analysis of the campaign, including research findings or new theoretical insights; to bring readers original ways of understanding the election.
The Election Analysis series is published by the Centre for Comparative Politics & Media Research at Bournemouth University.
Editorial team:
Bournemouth University – Prof Daniel Jackson, Prof Darren Lilleker, Prof Einar Thorsen, Prof Scott Wright
Ravensbourne University – Dr Danielle Sarver Coombs
Northwestern University – Prof Stephanie Edgerly
American University – Dr Filippo Trevisan
La Trobe University – Prof Andrea Carson
Previous U.S. and UK election reports
We are partnering with the Conversation to feature articles from academics in the lead up to the election.
What happens on US inauguration day? Here’s what you need to know
Clodagh Harrington, Lecturer in American Politics, University College Cork 13:51 on 17 January, 2025
Inaugurations throughout history have come with pomp and ceremony, but the peaceful handover of power is significant.Elon Musk is elevating Trump’s foreign policy of deliberate disruption to a new level
Amelia Hadfield, Head of Department of Politics, University of Surrey 16:46 on 16 January, 2025
Elon Musk is increasingly getting involved in other countries’ politics, but what is his end game?A brief history of presidential inaugural speeches, from George Washington to today
Claire Jerry, Political History Curator, Smithsonian Institution 13:45 on 14 January, 2025
Inaugural addresses that newly minted presidents have given over the past 250 years have aimed to do several key things, including unify the country and establish the speaker’s qualifications for the job.‘Wearied’ almost to death: U.S. presidents have often experienced despair amid political turmoil
Ronald W. Pruessen, Emeritus Professor of History, University of Toronto 13:13 on 5 January, 2025
For more than two centuries, U.S. presidential politics and presidential lives have found various pathways through and beyond despair, affecting Americans of all political stripes.Five things at the top of China’s agenda for 2025
Tom Harper, Lecturer in International Relations, University of East London 08:11 on 30 December, 2024
Fallout from the wars in the MIddle East are one area of concern for China.A nation exhausted: The neuroscience of why Americans are tuning out politics
Arash Javanbakht, Associate Professor of Psychiatry, Wayne State University 13:18 on 19 December, 2024
Political polarization and people not being exposed to other perspectives online are two major factors that contribute to Americans feeling exhausted with politics.How Trump’s plan to surround himself with inexperienced loyalists could backfire
Barbara Yoxon, Lecturer in International Politics, Lancaster University 17:31 on 18 December, 2024
Donald Trump may need advisers who can stand up to him and give a reality check.Republicans soared in the recent US elections, but Democrats have reasons for optimism for 2026
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne 02:09 on 12 December, 2024
If Democrats benefit from higher turnout and Trump is unpopular, they could heavily defeat Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.In 2024, independent voters grew their share of the vote, split their tickets and expanded their influence
Thom Reilly, Professor & Co-Director, Center for an Independent and Sustainable Democracy, School of Public Affairs, Arizona State University 13:41 on 9 December, 2024
Postelection analysis of 2024 voters’ behavior reveals several ways self-described political independents differ from those who say they are Republicans or Democrats.America’s counties are less purple than they used to be
Robert J. Vanderbei, Professor of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University 13:40 on 4 December, 2024
Showing just red and blue states doesn’t paint an accurate picture of national politics.How right-wing media is like improv theater
Danielle Lee Tomson, Research Manager, Center for an Informed Public, University of Washington 13:39 on 4 December, 2024
Improv theater is known for improvisation, audience participation and riffing on memes and stories circulating on social and traditional media – all hallmarks of right-wing media.Polling in the age of Trump highlights flawed methods and filtered realities
Spencer Goidel, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Auburn University 13:35 on 26 November, 2024
Democrats’ surprise at the results of the 2024 presidential election is partly a result of pollsters’ inaccuracies and partly of partisan filter bubbles.Love him or loathe him, Elon Musk is a champion of efficiency and could save the US government a fortune
James Hayton, Vice Provost, Social Sciences and Professor of Innovation, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick 15:11 on 22 November, 2024
The richest man in the world knows how to make savings.Trump 2.0: Three tactics he may use to get his way in a second administration
Richard Hargy, Visiting Research Fellow in International Studies, Queen's University Belfast 10:15 on 22 November, 2024
Donald Trump have found some of his cabinet nominees have not been confirmed in the past. This time he seems to think he can avoid that.2024 presidential election: U.S. equities surged, then retreated, after Trump’s victory
Ashrafee Tanvir Hossain, Full Professor, Faculty of Business Administration, Memorial University of Newfoundland 18:11 on 20 November, 2024
A new study looks at how the U.S. stock market reacted to Donald Trump’s victory.3 strategies to help Americans bridge the deepening partisan divide
Alex Hinton, Distinguished Professor of Anthropology; Director, Center for the Study of Genocide and Human Rights, Rutgers University - Newark 13:34 on 20 November, 2024
People acknowledging and inspecting their own political biases is one way that they can begin to reduce polarization.How Trump’s war on the media is expected to ramp up in his second term
Julie Posetti, Global Director of Research, International Center for Journalists (ICFJ) and Professor of Journalism, City St George's, University of London 12:11 on 20 November, 2024
Donald Trump has suggested he could cancel broadcast licenses, and jail journalists once he gets back into office.What is resistance? From a second Trump presidency to the carnage in Gaza, it takes various forms
Anna Lippman, PhD Candidate, Sociology, York University, Canada 20:22 on 18 November, 2024
Resistance doesn’t exist on its own, but in opposition to a larger force. Often these bigger forces — like capitalism, white supremacy, the patriarchy — shape the power structures that rule society.Trump’s criminal conviction won’t stop him from getting security clearance as president
Dakota Rudesill, Associate Professor of Law; Senior Faculty Fellow, Mershon Center for International Security Studies, The Ohio State University 20:09 on 18 November, 2024
Under normal circumstances, Trump’s criminal record and other aspects of his life, including financial history, would disqualify him from getting access to classified information.How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato
Paul Whiteley, Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex 13:13 on 18 November, 2024
Donald Trump’s personality-led politics means it is hard to predict what he’ll do next.Marco Rubio: Trump’s foreign policy pick might be a hopeful sign for Nato
Natasha Lindstaedt, Professor in the Department of Government, University of Essex 15:30 on 14 November, 2024
New secretary of state nominee Marco Rubio might have a difference of opinion with Donald Trump over Nato.Benevolent sexism competed with hypermasculinity in high-stakes campaigns in the U.S. and Ireland
Amanda Friesen, Associate Professor of Political Science, Western University 18:04 on 12 November, 2024
The U.S. presidential election campaign and the Irish referendum on abortion in 2018 raise questions about whether a political messaging strategy focused on ‘real men’ is effective.What role did music play in Trump and MAGA’s electoral appeal?
Aidan McGartland, PhD candidate, Music Theory, McGill University 17:30 on 12 November, 2024
Disco classics, patriotic songs and celebrity endorsements featured heavily in the US election. Politicians can use music to evoke strong emotions and bring people together behind them.How could Donald Trump target the LGBTQ+ community? Project 2025 is a ready blueprint for discrimination
Justin Ellis, Lecturer in Criminology at the University of Newcastle, University of Newcastle 01:00 on 12 November, 2024
The Project 2025 manifesto calls for removing all federal regulations prohibiting discrimination for sexual orientation and gender identity.Soaring inflation helped lead Trump to victory – here’s why some of his policies might drive prices higher again
Veronika Dolar, Associate Professor of Economics, Pace University 13:26 on 11 November, 2024
Trump wants to jack up tariffs, deport millions of migrants and slash taxes. All three of these policies could fuel inflation.