{"id":75,"date":"2016-11-18T00:21:25","date_gmt":"2016-11-18T00:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.electionanalysis2016.us\/?page_id=75"},"modified":"2016-11-18T14:46:29","modified_gmt":"2016-11-18T14:46:29","slug":"did-election-results-trump-frames-of-newspaper-endorsements","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/did-election-results-trump-frames-of-newspaper-endorsements\/","title":{"rendered":"Did election results trump frames of newspaper endorsements?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"row \"><\/p>\n<p><div class=\"col-lg-3 col-md-3 col-xs-12 col-sm-3\">\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-294\" src=\"http:\/\/www.electionanalysis2016.us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/campbell_kenneth-bw.png\" alt=\"campbell_kenneth-bw\" width=\"227\" height=\"227\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/campbell_kenneth-bw.png 247w, https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/campbell_kenneth-bw-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/campbell_kenneth-bw-60x60.png 60w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 227px) 100vw, 227px\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"ProfileText1\">\n<p class=\"BIO\"><strong><span class=\"CharOverride-35\">Dr Kenneth Campbell\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"BIO\"><em>Associate Professor in the School of Journalism and Mass Communications at the University of South Carolina<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"BIO\"><span class=\"EMAIL\">Email: kcampbell@sc.edu<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-261 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/www.electionanalysis2016.us\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/US2016-Section-1-300x283.png\" alt=\"US2016 - Section 1\" width=\"300\" height=\"283\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/US2016-Section-1-300x283.png 300w, https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/US2016-Section-1-768x725.png 768w, https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/US2016-Section-1-1024x966.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/US2016-Section-1.png 1098w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<h5 class=\"CampaignQuote1\">Section 1: Media<\/h5>\n<div class=\"page-list\"><ul class=\"list-group-item\"><li class=\"page_item page-item-69\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/the-question-of-objectivity-in-the-2016-presidential-election\/\">The question of objectivity in the 2016 Presidential Election<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-71\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/after-objectivity\/\">After Objectivity?<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-73\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/journalism-and-the-illusion-of-innocence\/\">Journalism and the illusion of innocence<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-77\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/trump-and-mediatization\/\">Trump and mediatization<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-79\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/the-2016-election-and-the-success-of-fact-free-politics\/\">The 2016 election and the success of fact free politics<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-81\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/trump-truth-and-the-media\/\">Trump, truth and the media<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-83\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/rise-of-donald-trump-media-as-a-voter-decision-accelerator\/\">Rise of Donald Trump: media as a voter-decision accelerator<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-85\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/the-new-normal-campaigns-elections-in-the-contemporary-media-environment\/\">The new normal? Campaigns and elections in the contemporary media environment<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-87\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/did-the-media-create-trump\/\">Did the media create Trump?<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"page_item page-item-89\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/trump-media-and-the-oxygen-of-publicity\/\">Trump, Media, and the \u2018oxygen of publicity\u2019<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<p><\/div><\/p>\n<p><div class=\"col-lg-9 col-md-9 col-xs-12 col-sm-9\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"FIRST-PARA\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">With the endorsement of only two of the top 100 circulation newspapers in the US, Republican Donald J. Trump stunned the country by becoming the 45th president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Never before in the history of US politics had a presidential candidate received so few major newspaper endorsements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Democrat Hilary Clinton was endorsed by 57 newspapers while Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson was endorsed by 4, and 3 newspapers recommend \u2018Not Trump.\u2019 The other 31 either did not endorse as a matter of principle or chose none of the candidates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">In comparison, in 2012 President Obama was endorsed by 41 of the top 100 circulation newspapers and Republican Mitt Romney 35; the other 24 newspapers did not endorse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">Was Trump\u2019s victory as stunning as a rebuke to the influence of newspaper endorsements as the election results were a surprise to most Americans \u2013 to most American opinion pollsters anyway?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">That may be determined by how the frames used by the newspapers are understood. American newspapers have been steadily getting out of the presidential endorsement business during recent elections, framing their exit in terms of questioning the influence of endorsements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Yet, in an interesting twist to the trend, this year some newspapers, such as\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">USA Today<\/span>, that previously refrained as a matter of principle from endorsing candidates at presidential elections jumped into the fray. Also, some that never or almost never endorsed a Democrat did so this time.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">Many endorsements framed Clinton as flawed but acceptable, although many also went out of their way to say she was the best prepared presidential candidate ever. She was framed as having the character and temperament to be president.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">Trump was framed \u2018dangerous\u2019 and \u2018unfit\u2019 because of personal comments and behavior that stoked racism, stirred anti-immigration sentiment, and disrespected women.\u00a0<\/span>He was framed as not having the character and temperament to be president.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">And so, is it that newspaper endorsements \u2013 despite framing the candidates so drastically differently &#8211; did not have any influence in the election?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">According to preliminary results, Clinton actually won the popular vote total. Trump won the most Electoral College votes, which determines who wins the presidency. Each state has a number of electoral votes equal to the state\u2019s number of members in the House of Representatives (which is based on the state\u2019s population) and US Senate (each state has two Senators). The candidate who wins the most votes in a state wins that state\u2019s electoral votes.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">An analysis of endorsements of top 100 circulation newspapers and voting results in swing states (whose election outcome typically cannot be predicted) suggests areas for further study.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Trump\u2019s performance when endorsed shows he lost 46% to 48% in Nevada despite the endorsement of the\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Las Vegas Review Journal<\/span>, a newspaper owned by one of his key wealthy supporters. He won Florida by the thin margin of 49% to 48%, after having been endorsed by the\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Florida Times-Union<\/span>. In that state, four newspapers, including the largest, endorsed Clinton and one \u2013 the\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Palm Beach Post<\/span>\u00a0\u2013 did not endorse anyone.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Trump\u2019s performance when not endorsed shows he won some swing states by comfortable margins: Iowa (52% to 48%) although its largest newspaper,\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">The Des Moines Register,<\/span>\u00a0endorsed Clinton; North Carolina (51% to 47%) and Ohio (52% to 44%) despite being repudiated by multiple newspapers in both states which endorsed Clinton or did not make an endorsement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Trump\u2019s performance when not endorsed also shows some razor thin victories in swing states: Michigan (48% to 47%) and Wisconsin (48% to 47%). One might wonder whether the endorsement of Johnson on the Libertarian ticket by the\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Detroit News<\/span>\u00a0in Michigan and the recommendation of anyone but Trump by the Milwaukee-Wisconsin\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Journal Sentinel<\/span>\u00a0siphoned votes from Clinton. Many editorials framed a vote for Johnson as a vote for Trump.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\">Trump won Pennsylvania 49% to 48%. While Clinton won the big prize of the endorsement of the\u00a0<span class=\"ITALIC\">Philadelphia Inquirer,<\/span>\u00a0her reward might have been urban voters who would support her anyway. Neither she nor Trump earned the endorsement of the four other newspapers, two of which did not endorse and a further two\u00a0<a id=\"_idTextAnchor003\"><\/a>did not endorse as a matter of principle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">Clinton won Virginia easily (50% to 45%) after its typically Republican leaning newspapers did not endorse Trump, although they did not endorse her either: one supported Johnson and the other did not endorse. Her vice presidential running mate was also from Virginia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"Basic-Paragraph-US\"><span class=\"REGULAR\">This analysis suggests that endorsements may still play an important role, and the frames used should be further explored. Perhaps the role of endorsements has changed and therefore the framing of endorsements should reflect that change. Maybe they already do so. This may be an invitation to other newspapers to come back to the presidential endorsement business. As some editorialists now say, endorsements no longer tell us how to vote, but rather they contribute to the conversation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":21,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-75","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Did election results trump frames of newspaper endorsements? - US Election Analysis 2016<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.electionanalysis.ws\/us\/president2016\/us-election-analysis-2016\/section-1-media\/did-election-results-trump-frames-of-newspaper-endorsements\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Did election results trump frames of newspaper endorsements? 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